December 2007 | Archives: October | November   HOME
   
A BUYERS’ OR SELLERS’ MARKET
The signs are there, everywhere.

In this December 2007 newsletter we look at:

1. A BUYERS’ OR SELLERS’ MARKET – The signs are there, everywhere
2. Q & A WITH RONALD ENNIK
The Buyers vs. Sellers’ Market debate
3. FAMILY HOLIDAY RENTALS around South Africa – A Choice of Beautiful Getaways
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A BUYERS’ OR SELLERS’ MARKET - The signs are there, everywhere.

What are Buyers’ and Sellers’ Property Markets?
When most people decide to sell or buy a home, very few stop to take the temperature of the marketplace or wonder if the market is conducive to the goals at hand. That's because most people tend to think of their home as a place to live and not as an investment.

Buyers’ Property Markets
If you are a buyer looking to a purchase a home in a buyers’ property market, this is the best financial market in which to buy. Why? Because there are more homes available for sale than buyers’ to purchase them. Buyers’ have more homes to choose among, which increases the odds a buyer will find that perfect home.

In a cold property market, serious sellers’ are often willing to negotiate. This means you can probably buy a home for less than list price, and the seller might be willing to pay some or all of your closing costs.

Signs of a Buyers’ Market

Inventory is high as compared to previous months / years.
More than six months of inventory is on the market.
Comparable sale prices are higher than active listing prices.
Fewer buyers’ are purchasing, resulting in lower closed sale numbers.
Median sales prices are declining.
Property ads are getting bigger.
For Sale signs are staying up longer, resulting in longer DOM (days on market)

Sellers’ Property Markets
If you are a homeowner who wants to sell a house in a sellers’ property market, this is the best financial market in which to sell. Why? Because there are more buyers’ than available houses to buy.

In a hot property market, serious buyers’ are often willing to pay more than list price. This means you can probably sell your home quickly and quite possibly for more than you ask for it.

Signs of a Sellers’ Market

Inventory is very low as compared to previous months / years.
More than six months of inventory is on the market.
Comparable sale prices are lower than active listing prices.
More buyers’ are purchasing, resulting in higher closed sale numbers.
Median sales prices are increasing.
Property ads are getting smaller.
For Sale signs are up for a few days before a pending or sold sign is attached.

Neutral Property Markets
These markets are balanced. Typically, interest rates are affordable and the number of buyers’ and sellers’ in the marketplace are equalized. The scales don't tip in either direction, meaning the market is normal without experiencing volatile swings.

Signs of a Neutral Market

Inventory is normal as compared to previous normal months / years.  
Two to four months of inventory is on the market.
Comparable sale prices are close to active listing prices.
Sales numbers have stabilized.  
Median sales prices are flattened. 
Property advertising remains uniform.  
For Sale signs are replaced with pending or sold signs within 30 to 45 days.   

Q&A WITH RONALD ENNIK
MD Pam Golding Properties (Gauteng)


BUYERS’ vs. SELLERS’ MARKET?

Ronald Ennik explains...
When is it a buyers’ market?
A buyers’ market is when, in real terms, property prices are coming down, and there is an over supply of stock and a great shortage of buyers’.
 
When is it a sellers’ market?
A sellers’ market is where house prices are appreciating positively, in real terms, and there is a shortage of stock – this being property for sale.
 
What are the definite market indicators that determine that it is either a buyers’ or sellers’ market?
If it were a buyers’ market you’d have extremely low attendance at show days, if any attendance at all. There was a time at the end of 1997 when there were no people visiting show houses and there was an oversupply of stock.

The main indicator for a sellers’ market is property prices appreciating, as it is only demand that causes prices to go up, which then results in buyers’ competing for property and yes, if that frequently happens, that’s an indication of a sellers’ market.
 
Do all estate agents ‘understand’ these market changes at relatively the same time and react accordingly so that the property market, as a whole, works in unison?
No. I would say that different property companies experience the various markets in different ways and it has something to do with their methodology. So some property companies might be battling and it may be because of the way they go about things, when other companies are doing well. There is no consistency really, unless the indicators are overwhelming, then everyone agrees. Overwhelming would be like prices plummeting or rocketing, as in 2004, when prices rose to 35% per annum.
 
Is there a ‘tool’ of sorts that is industry standard that determines when these markets change or could be changing?
No, not that I’m aware of and a point we need to make here is that the reference to buyers’ and sellers’ market is a very loose term as there is no official frame of reference. It’s not like explaining a mortgage. There are no recognized parameters to reference markets to.
 
How is this information transferred to property owners – the buyers’ and the sellers’?
It’s more of a trend, or a description to describe a trend, and so buyers’ and sellers’, as they become more informed, will understand whether the trend is indicating if prices are going up or going down – it’s unlikely that prices go down – you need a catastrophic event to drive prices down. Buyers’ markets are very few and far between.
 
Presently, are we in a buyers’ or sellers’ market?
We are definitely in a sellers’ market. We are just not in the same boom market that we were a few years ago. The rate of price increases has slowed, but prices are still increasing.
 
How do you know?
All the statistics and bank indices are showing that prices are still going up, at a rate somewhere between 8% and 15%, depending on price category and area.
 
Are there any definitive ‘scenarios’ that can forcibly change the market from a buyers’ to a sellers’, or vice versa?
There are a number of scenarios. Each one on its own, I don’t believe, could change it from sellers’ to buyers’ market. However, a combination of these scenarios might be able to do it.

These scenarios include the rand dollar exchange rate; the price of oil; the political landscape over the next few months, up to and including the presidential election; the world economy and the stability in hotspots like Iran; and the Middle East with the seeming emergence of a new cold war between East and West.

The festive season is here!

Make the most of your holidays by finding the ideal getaway to relax and unwind in the beauty of these holiday rentals and their surroundings.


FRANSCHHOEK - WESTERN CAPE
CLIFTON - WESTERN CAPE
CAMPS BAY - WESTERN CAPE
HOUT BAY - WESTERN CAPE
STRAND - WESTERN CAPE (WINELANDS)
PORT ALFRED - EASTERN CAPE
UMDLOTI - KWAZULU-NATAL
DURBAN NORTH - KWAZULU-NATAL
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RESIDENTIAL LIFESTYLE PROPERTIES FOR SALE IN SOUTH AFRICA:

The Properties For Sale in South Africa:
Click through to the below areas to view some fabulous opportunities on offer.
Gauteng:
Click here

Western Cape:
Click here
Boland & Overberg:
Click here
INVESTORS NOTICE BOARD
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY MARKET COMMENT BY DR ANDREW GOLDING, PAM GOLDING PROPERTIES
Amid tighter market conditions coupled with rising interest rates and the slowing effect of the National Credit Act, and despite the fact that the residential property market in general has seen unit sales reduce by approximately 20 percent, the residential arm of the Pam Golding Property Group has for the past eight months of the financial year (Mar-Oct 2007) seen significant growth in turnover with unit sales remaining steady, reports Dr Andrew Golding, CE of the PGP group.
...Read More
INTEREST RATE COMMENT BY DR ANDREW GOLDING, CE OF THE PAM GOLDING PROPERTY GROUP
It is unfortunate that the repo rate has once again been increased by 50 basis points (6 December 2007). Consumers, already feeling the pinch of rising interest rates during the year, will once again bear the brunt of this most recent increase in the repo rate.
...Read More
OASIS RESIDENTS START LIVING THE GOOD LIFE
Numerous residents have now taken occupation at The Oasis Luxury Retirement Village in the Century City complex – and with the recent opening of its lifestyle centre, “The Oasis Club”, the development has acquired the final finishing touches to a relaxing yet cosmopolitan way of life.
...Read More
GET THE EAST LONDON NEWSLINE
Get the inside track to all property investment in East London through the Pam Golding Properties Newsletter.
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THEMBOKWEZI LIFESTYLE ESTATE TAKING SHAPE
Interested in Thembokwezi?
Read purchasing details
here

Construction well under way on site
Even prior to the official on site launch (23 November 2007) of Phase 1 of the residential component of Thembokwezi Lifestyle Estate in Khayelitsha, over 70 interested buyers have been pre-screened to purchase units in this major development where 568 sectional title one and two bedroom units are located in double and three-storey complexes in a secure estate.
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PGP APPOINTS NEW SALES MANAGER FOR SOUTHERN SUBURBS
In a bid to offer clients more focused and personalised service, Pam Golding Properties’ Western Cape metro region has appointed a second sales manager for the Southern Suburbs area.
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SURGE IN GROWTH FOR PAM GOLDING SECTIONAL TITLE ADMINISTRATORS
In the past six months Pam Golding Sectional Title Administrators (PGSTA) have been awarded numerous prestigious new management contracts for luxury residential buildings and developments in the Western Cape with a combined capital value of R1.5 billion.
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RETAIL AND LIGHT INDUSTRIAL PROPERTIES IN DEMAND IN JEFFREYS BAY AREA
Commercial investors are snapping up sectional title shop units in a development, 'Loodspark Industrial Park', in Jeffreys Bay, reports Keimpe Weistra, area principal for Pam Golding Properties.
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COMMERCIAL PROPERTY
Become an expert at property auctions.
INVESTMENT PROPERTY
Residential development models and securing a stable cash flow with commercial property.
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS
Live twice in Perth, Australia...
Our unique showday mapping facility is now available to assist you in preparation for your weekend showhouse quest.
Pam Golding Properties Office Network:
Contact a Pam Golding Properties Agent in your area.
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Pam Golding Properties Head Office: Monterey, 12-14 Klaassens Road, Bishopscourt, Cape Town, 7708. www.pamgolding.co.za
 

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